I Think A Lot Of

I'm Not Trying To Do Anything Too Tricky.

When Human Judgment And Big Data Intersect There Are Some Funny Things That Happen

Distinguishing The Signal From The Noise Requires Both Scientific Knowledge And Self-knowledge: The Serenity To Accept The Things We Cannot Predict, The Courage To Predict The Things We Can, And The Wisdom To Know The Difference.

Caesar Recognized The Omens, But He Didn't Believe They Applied To Him.

You Can Build A Statistical Model And That's All Well And Good, But If You're Dealing With A New Type Of Financial Instrument, For Example, Or A New Type Of Situation - Then The Choices You're Making Are Pretty Arbitrary In A Lot Of Respects.