Well The Way We Perceive

I'm Not Trying To Do Anything Too Tricky.

We Must Become More Comfortable With Probability And Uncertainty.

We Look At All The Polls, Not Just The Gallup Poll. So, It's Kind Of Like If You Have, You Know, Four Out Of Five Doctors Agree That Reducing Cholesterol Reduces Your Risk Of A Heart Attack, Gallup Is Like The Fifth Doctor.

Well The Way We Perceive Accuracy And What Accuracy Is Statistically Are Really Two Different Things.

You Don't Want To Influence The Same System You Are Trying To Forecast.