The Idea That The Future

The Idea That You Can Ask One Question And It Makes The Point - Well, That Wasn't How Psychology Was Done At The Time.

Clearly, The Decision-making That We Rely On In Society Is Fallible. It's Highly Fallible, And We Should Know That.

There Are Domains In Which Expertise Is Not Possible. Stock Picking Is A Good Example. And In Long-term Political Strategic Forecasting, It's Been Shown That Experts Are Just Not Better Than A Dice-throwing Monkey.

People Are Really Happier With Friends Than They Are With Their Families Or Their Spouse Or Their Child.

The Idea That The Future Is Unpredictable Is Undermined Every Day By The Ease With Which The Past Is Explained.