Within 10 Years Computers Won't

Eventually, Robots Will Make Everything.

Speed Is What Distinguishes Intelligence. No Bird Discovers How To Fly: Evolution Used A Trillion Bird-years To 'discover' That – Where Merely Hundreds Of Person-years Sufficed.

Common Sense Is Not A Simple Thing. Instead, It Is An Immense Society Of Hard-earned Practical Ideas - Of Multitudes Of Life-learned Rules And Exceptions, Dispositions And Tendencies, Balances And Checks.

But Just As Astronomy Succeeded Astrology, Following Kepler's Discovery Of Planetary Regularities, The Discoveries Of These Many Principles In Empirical Explorations Of Intellectual Processes In Machines Should Lead To A Science, Eventually.

I Believed In Realism, As Summarized By John Mccarthy's Comment To The Effect That If We Worked Really Hard, We'd Have An Intelligent System In From Four To Four Hundred Years.