The Premise Of This Book

I Have Always Emphasized The Willingness To Discard.

The Confidence People Have In Their Beliefs Is Not A Measure Of The Quality Of Evidence But Of The Coherence Of The Story The Mind Has Managed To Construct.

To Better Avoid Errors, You Should Talk To People Who Disagree With You And You Should Talk To People Who Are Not In The Same Emotional Situation You Are.

Overconfidence Is A Powerful Source Of Illusions, Primarily Determined By The Quality And Coherence Of The Story That You Can Construct, Not By Its Validity.

Banks Are Run By Executives, And Executives Protect Themselves, And That Does Not Always Mean That Banks Are Going To Behave Rationally.