First, I Think The Science

Even If The Dollar Does Decline During The Coming Months, The Delays In The Response Of Exports And Imports To The More Competitive Dollar Will Mean That The Increase In Aggregate Demand From This Source May Not Happen For A Year Or More.

Domestic Inflation Reflects Domestic Monetary Policy.

Increased Government Spending Can Provide A Temporary Stimulus To Demand And Output But In The Longer Run Higher Levels Of Government Spending Crowd Out Private Investment Or Require Higher Taxes That Weaken Growth By Reducing Incentives To Save, Invest, Innovate, And Work.

And Finally, No Matter How Good The Science Gets, There Are Problems That Inevitably Depend On Judgment, On Art, On A Feel For Financial Markets.

But The Primary Reason For Wanting The Dollar To Become More Competitive In The Near Future Is That We May Need An Increase In Exports This Year And In 2007 To Sustain The Economy's Current Pace Of Expansion.